Lesson 19 of 25 · 7 min
Reconstructing a year of twelve statements, in outline
Twelve statements are twelve products in a chain; the year is the sum, not a twelfth of a quoted rate.
A year of this facility is twelve closing balances, each the next opening, and twelve interest products that do not share a rate or a day count. Start from the sample February and carry the chain through an invented rate path to January. No draws, no repayments, interest capitalised each month, Act/360 throughout.
The twelve products, each already rounded:
- February 28 days at 6.97 percent: $9,959.99, close $1,847,220.00.
- March, two legs: $11,343.47, close $1,858,563.47.
- April 30 days at 7.22 percent: $11,182.36, close $1,869,745.83.
- May 31 days at 7.22 percent: $11,624.63, close $1,881,370.46.
- June 30 days at 7.05 percent: $11,053.05, close $1,892,423.51.
- July 31 days at 7.05 percent: $11,488.59, close $1,903,912.10.
- August 31 days at 6.80 percent: $11,148.46, close $1,915,060.56.
- September 30 days at 6.80 percent: $10,852.01, close $1,925,912.57.
- October 31 days at 6.55 percent: $10,862.68, close $1,936,775.25.
- November 30 days at 6.55 percent: $10,571.56, close $1,947,346.81.
- December 31 days at 6.40 percent: $10,732.04, close $1,958,078.85.
- January 31 days at 6.40 percent: $10,791.19, close $1,968,870.04.
The twelve charges add to $131,610.03. February's opening plus that sum is $1,837,260.01 + $131,610.03 = $1,968,870.04, which is January's close. The chain holds for the year because it held for each month. Twelve times March's $11,343.47 would have been $136,121.64, which is $4,511.61 too high. A single 7.22 percent taken on the March opening for a 360-day year would have been $1,847,220 × 0.0722 = $133,369.28, a different wrong number.
The year is the sum of twelve four-factor products, each with its own days and its own rate, each written onto a balance the previous product enlarged. Outline reconstruction is naming those twelve and adding them. It is not dividing a quoted rate by twelve.
Key terms
- Annual chain
- Twelve monthly identities in sequence. The year's interest is their sum; the year's close is the last of their closes.
- Quoted-year product
- Balance × stated rate, as if a year were 360 days at one rate on an unchanging base. Here $133,369.28, which matches none of the twelve months.
Worked example
The year against two shortcuts
Opening $1,837,260.01 on 1 February. The twelve products listed above.
- Sum of twelve charges
- $131,610.03
- Opening + sum
- $1,968,870.04
- January close
- $1,968,870.04
- Twelve times March
- $136,121.64
- March opening × 7.22%
- $133,369.28
- Gap, quoted-year versus chain
- $1,759.25
High by $4,511.61.
A 360-day year on a frozen base.
The year that happened is $131,610.03. Both shortcuts invent a year that did not, one by repeating March and one by freezing the March rate and the March base.
Check yourself
The twelve charges add to $131,610.03 and February opened at $1,837,260.01. What is January's close, and why is $1,847,220 × 0.0722 = $133,369.28 the wrong year?
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Educational only. Nothing in this lesson is investment, legal or tax advice, or a recommendation to enter into any transaction. Figures are illustrative and computed from the inputs stated in the lesson.